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How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration officially announces the withdrawal of all U.S. troops from at least one former Warsaw Pact country by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of the withdrawal of a permanent U.S. troop presence will count, even if rotational deployments remain. Likewise, an announcement of the end of rotational deployments in a country that does not have a permanent U.S. troop presence will also count, however announcements of force reductions, or partial withdrawals will not qualify. Any official announcement made within in this market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of if/when the policy is implemented. Any country which includes a former Warsaw Pact country will count (e.g. Germany, Czech Republic, Slovakia, qualify). The resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible repeating may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 5:42:04 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.