
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
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This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Senate Majority Leader John Thune announces that he will remove or fire Elizabeth MacDonough as Senate Parliamentarian, she announces she is resigning, or otherwise ceases to hold the position for any length of time, between June 26, 2025 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market resolves to "No". Note that an official announcement by Thune or MacDonough before the resolution date is sufficient to resolve “Yes,” even if the change happens later. The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from the U.S. Senate or Majority Leader Thune’s office, or statements by MacDonough or her representative, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 4:13:55 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.