SBF sentenced to life?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$158.7K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCJun 30, 2024

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds0%

SBF sentenced to life?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Jun 30, 2024
Yes bid / ask: 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Bankman-Fried (SBF) is sentenced to life in prison, with or without the possibility of parole, for the charges for which he is presently on trial (as of Oct 3, 2023) by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If SBF is sentenced to a specific number of years (e.g. 150 years) that would have him in prison past the end of his natural lifespan, this market will not resolve to "Yes" - only a life sentence will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve based on the first sentence rendered by the court regarding SBF's present trial. If SBF's ongoing trial ends (e.g. mistrial) without the rendering of a sentence, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the US court system, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.