Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$148.1K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCMar 31, 2024

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Mar 31, 2024
Yes bid / ask: 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a formal peace agreement or normalization deal is publicly announced between the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the State of Israel on or before March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. The agreement must be publicly acknowledged and confirmed by official sources from both Saudi Arabia and Israel. This includes, but is not limited to, announcements made by the Saudi Crown Prince or his representatives, Israel's Prime Minister or his representatives, or other official sources such as ministries of foreign affairs. Informal agreements, unconfirmed reports, or rumors will not count as a valid resolution source. If a deal is reached, it must contain clear terms that signify a normalization of diplomatic relations, such as the establishment of embassies, exchange of ambassadors, or other clear signs of formal diplomatic relations. For early resolution, if a peace agreement is publicly announced and confirmed before the expiry date, this market will resolve immediately to "Yes". If no formal peace agreement or normalization deal has been publicly announced and confirmed by March 31, 2024, the market will resolve to "No".