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Runway closures due to Mystery Drones by Friday?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$18.7K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCDec 20, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Runway closures due to Mystery Drones by Friday?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 20, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.2¢ / 1.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any sightings of "mystery drones" in the United States of America is the official explicitly stated cause a runway shuts down for any length of time between December 16, 11:00 AM ET, and December 20, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be information from the airports in question, the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), and the government of the United States, however in cases of ambiguity a consensus of credible official sources will also be used.