Rishi Sunak out before next UK election?

Foretrace AI research

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$80.9K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCJan 31, 2025

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

Rishi Sunak out before next UK election?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Jan 31, 2025
Yes bid / ask: 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rishi Sunak ceases to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any length of time between April 29, 2024, and the next UK general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Sunak ceases to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until the next UK general election takes place. If no election takes place by January 31, 2025, and Sunak has remained Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for the entire duration of the market without interruption this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.