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Republika Srpska declares independence?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$2.3K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJun 30, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Republika Srpska declares independence?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jun 30, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.1¢ / 0.7¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Republika Srpska declares independence from Bosnia and Herzegovina through an official government act or recognized referendum before June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any referendum that establishes Republika Srpska's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Bosnia and Herzegovina will qualify. If no conclusive evidence of an independence declaration is available by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No" Official resolution will be based on statements from the government of the Republika Srpska or of Bosnia and Herzegovina, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.