Loading your workspace…
All markets
RedNote removed from App Store before July?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$19.4K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJun 30, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
RedNote removed from App Store before July?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jun 30, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Xiaohongshu (小红书, RedNote) iOS app is no longer available for download on the United States Apple App Store at any point between January 16, 11:00 AM and June 30, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the app is inaccessible due to technical issues with the App Store itself, this will not count as a removal. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Apple and the Apple App Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 2:55:29 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.