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Powell says "unemployment" 5+ times in FOMC statement?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$38K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCSep 18, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Powell says "unemployment" 5+ times in FOMC statement?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Sep 18, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.1¢ / 0.2¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on September 18 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "unemployment" 5 or more times during the FOMC Introductory Statement. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that this market only pertains to his Introductory Statement. Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "unemployment" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the state of being unemployed, and/or the rate of such unemployment. If no such statement happens by September 18, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Introductory Statement.