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Porto Alegre mayoral election 2024
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$457.2K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCOct 6, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
5 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Sebastião MeloClosedMarket odds100%
Will Sebastião Melo win the 2024 Porto Alegre mayoral election?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 6, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.6¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
The 2024 Porto Alegre mayoral election is scheduled to take place on October 6. If no candidate receives a majority of votes, a runoff election will be held on October 27, 2024. This is a market asking who will be the ultimate victor. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sebastião Melo wins the 2024 Porto Alegre mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a runoff election is triggered and this candidate is no longer in consideration for Mayor of Porto Alegre, this market will resolve immediately to "No". If the election is delayed beyond December 31, 2024 ET, or the election is otherwise not held by that date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) (www.tse.jus.br) and/or the official process by which electoral disputes are arbitrated in Brazil.