Peak wave height at NY Harbor, September 23 to 28?

Will the peak wave height at NY Harbor buoy 44065 be 8 ft or more?

Liquidity

Unavailable

Deadline · UTC

Sep 29, 2026

Yes bid / ask

99.9¢ / 100.0¢

Trading fees

Enabled · verify on Polymarket

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the highest significant wave height (WVHT) reported by NDBC station 44065 between 12:00 AM ET September 23, 2026 and 11:59 PM ET September 28, 2026 is equal to or greater than the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying value is the maximum WVHT in the station's standard meteorological data within that window, converted from meters to feet at 3.28084 ft/m and rounded to one decimal place. That rounded value is the value compared to the listed value. Rows in which WVHT is reported as missing will not be considered for resolution. Station 44065 marks a missing WVHT as MM in its real time file and as 99.00 in its archived files, and neither is a wave height. The value as first published governs. A revision published after a value is first published will not be considered for resolution, except where the correction provision below applies. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to NDBC differing from other sources. Otherwise, once a finalized value has met or exceeded the listed value, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent revisions. If any WVHT data remains unpublished or unfinalized, this market will remain open for up to 2 calendar days (ET) after September 28, 2026; it will then resolve based on the finalized WVHT data published up to that point. Only WVHT values published by station 44065 are used to resolve this market. Gaps in the station's reporting, including gaps of more than 48 consecutive hours, do not change this, and readings from any other station, buoy, model, or source will not be considered for resolution. A threshold that is not met by the WVHT values station 44065 published within the window will resolve to "No", and if station 44065 publishes no WVHT value at all within the window, this market will resolve to "No". Every market in this event may resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/data/realtime2/44065.txt, the station's rolling 45-day file, read at any point while that file still covers the window. The values read from that file govern resolution. Station 44065 publishes to that file every 10 minutes, so the data for the window is complete once the window closes and nothing in this paragraph delays resolution. If the real time file was not read while it still covered the window, the station's archive at https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_history.php?station=44065 will be used instead and the values it publishes will govern. On that page the file to use is the one listed under the heading Standard meteorological data, which is the September link under Quality controlled data for 2026. The spectral wave, supplemental measurements, and continuous winds files listed on that page report different quantities and will not be used.