
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of OpenSea's token is above $1,000,000,000 1 week after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." "1 week after launch" is defined as 12:00 PM ET, 7 calendar days after it launches. For example, if the token launches at 8 PM ET, March 15, then the FDV at 12:00 PM ET, March 22 will be used. The resolution source for this market is CoinGecko, specifically the "Fully Diluted Valuation" metric. If OpenSea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 11:46:19 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.