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OpenAI Sora public release in 2024?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$69.4K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
OpenAI Sora public release in 2024?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's Sora model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sora must be launched and publicly accessible, which includes open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, for this market to resolve to "Yes". Closed beta or an otherwise private launch will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 3:24:00 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.