
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI shifts from its current capped-profit corporation structure to a for-profit model by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any form of fully for-profit organization—including a Benefit Corporation (B-Corp), Public Benefit Corporation (PBC), or a modification to its existing structure to remove profit caps—will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. If the OpenAI non-profit relinquishes control over the for-profit business, this will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. An announcement indicating that OpenAI is merely considering the shift will not suffice; the change must officially occur. The primary resolution source will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 4:07:01 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.