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Nobel Prize in Literature
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$39.3K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCOct 10, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
12 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Gerald MurnaneClosedMarket odds0%
Will Gerald Murnane win the Nobel prize in literature?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 10, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.8¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gerald Murnane wins the 2024 Nobel prize in literature. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If there are multiple winners of this award this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement form the Swedish Academy.