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Next Prime Minister of Ireland
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$13.6M
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCNov 29, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
15 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Simon HarrisClosedMarket odds0%
Will Simon Harris be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 29, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Simon Harris is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.