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New US sanctions on Brazilian Supreme Court Justices by September 30?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$23.8K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCOct 31, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
New US sanctions on Brazilian Supreme Court Justices by September 30?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 31, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
Jair Bolsonaro was recently found guilty by 4 of 5 justices on the Brazilian supreme court in charges related to a coup attempt. Donald Trump has referred to the trial as a "witch hunt" and implied that sanctions could be leveled as a consequence. You can read more about that here: https://www.politico.com/news/2025/09/11/bolsonaro-supreme-court-conviction-00558165 This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against any Brazilian Supreme Federal Court Justice between September 11, and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions on the country or broader institutions (e.g., sanctions that target Brazil, the Brazilian government, etc.) will not qualify, however sanctions that target the Brazilian Supreme Court in particular will. The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing qualifying sanctions within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.