Loading your workspace…
All markets
New Pope announced by...?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$890.9K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCApr 30, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
3 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
April 30ClosedMarket odds0%
New Pope announced by April 30?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Apr 30, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new pope is officially announced by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A new pope will be considered announced once the senior cardinal deacon proclaims "Habemus Papam!" from the balcony of St. Peter's Basilica, or when the Catholic Church officially announces the name of the newly elected pope. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcement from the Catholic Church, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.