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Nevada Secretary of State Election Winner
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 5 open questions · Evidence required
24h volume$259.5
Total volume$1.4K
Liquidity$40.8K
Event end date · UTCNov 3, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
5 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Cisco Aguilar (D)Accepting ordersMarket odds87%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election?
Yes87%Polymarket estimate
No13%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $19.2K
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 3, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 85.0¢ / 89.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.