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Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest winner?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$39.2K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJul 4, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
16 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Joey ChestnutClosedMarket odds100%
Will Joey Chestnut win the 2025 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jul 4, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This is a market to predict which contestant will win the 2025 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed contestant wins the 2025 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2025 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest is canceled or postponed past July 4, 2025, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official results from Major League Eating (https://majorleagueeating.com). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used in the event of ambiguity.