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Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026: Winner (Men's)
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$23K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCNot specified
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
18 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Joey ChestnutClosedMarket odds100%
Will Joey Chestnut Win Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026(men's)?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Not specified
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed participant finishes first in the final result of the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the participant officially recognized by Major League Eating as finishing in first place. If multiple participants are officially awarded first place, the market will resolve to the participant whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed participant to finish first in the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest is cancelled, postponed after July 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no first place participant declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Eating. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.