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Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: New World Record?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$2.1K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJul 4, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: New World Record?ClosedMarket odds0%
Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: New World Record?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jul 4, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 9.9¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest records 76 or more HDBs (hot dogs and buns) eaten. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest is cancelled, postponed after July 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation of a new world record declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Eating.