Loading your workspace…
All markets
Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Margin of Victory
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$7.2K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCNot specified
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
7 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<10 HDBsClosedMarket odds0%
Will the margin of victory at the 2026 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest be <10 HDBs?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Not specified
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 1.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve in favor of the bracket that matches the margin of victory between the winner and 2nd place at the conclusion of the Men’s 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Contest. If the Men’s 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Contest is cancelled, postponed, or the margin of victory cannot be determined as equaling or exceeding the listed number by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be the official information from the MLE; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.