Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Joey Chestnut vs. The Field

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.

24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$352.2

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCNot specified

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Joey Chestnut vs. The FieldClosedMarket odds100%

Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Joey Chestnut vs. The Field

Joey100%Polymarket estimate

Field0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Not specified
Joey bid / ask: 91.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Joey” if Joey Chestnut wins the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest. This market will resolve to “Field” if anyone besides Joey Chestnut wins the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest. If the contest results in any form of draw, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by the rules of the event organizer. If no official winner is designated under Major League Eating rules, or if the contest is declared a draw, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Eating; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.