
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksIf the Marjorie Taylor Greene Index outperforms the Nancy Pelosi Index for the week beginning January 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "MTG". If the Nancy Pelosi Index outperforms the Marjorie Taylor Greene Index for the week beginning January 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "Pelosi". The resolution source for Marjorie Taylor Greene ("MTG") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559397469116612608 The resolution source for Nancy Pelosi ("Pelosi") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559433043512836096 The performance of each index will be determined by the 1-week trailing percentage return of each index for the final trading day of the specified week, found in the "Performance table" under "1W". The index with the best percentage return will be deemed the winner. If index performances over the specified date range are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. If the specified indices do not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If the relevant trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official 1-week trailing percentage return figure published for the relevant index for the day of that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If a relevant index’s 1-week trailing percentage return figure for the last trading day of the specified week is not published by the time that the figure for the first trading day of the next week is published, this market will resolve based on the most recent 1-week trailing percentage return figure published by the specified resolution source for a day prior to the last trading day of the specified week. Updates to historical prices or figures displayed for either index subsequent to this market's resolution will not be considered. This market will resolve according to the methodologies utilized by the specified indices as of the resolution time of this market, regardless of whether those methodologies are updated mid-timeframe.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 5:38:55 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.