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Mystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$1.4M
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCDec 30, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Mystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 30, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. federal government or its agencies (such as the FBI, DHS, or DoD) confirm that the drone clusters sighted in New Jersey or other parts of the U.S. Northeast are searching for nuclear weapons or nuclear materials by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government. However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming the drones are searching for nuclear weapons or nuclear materials may also be used.
Retrieved 10/5/2026, 1:04:30 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.