
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if there are more Southwest border encounters in Feb 2024 compared to Jan 2024 (see https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/southwest-land-border-encounters). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first report of data for Feb 2024 compared with the Jan 2024 at the time of February's release, regardless of future revisions. The resolution source is https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/southwest-land-border-encounters.
Resolution sourceRetrieved 10/4/2026, 4:56:24 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.