Major challenger to Kamala for Democratic nomination?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$331.3K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCAug 22, 2024

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

Major challenger to Kamala for Democratic nomination?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Aug 22, 2024
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.2¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any major candidate announces they are challenging Kamala Harris for the Democratic nomination for President of the United States between July 22, 2024, and the moment the Democratic nominee is announced. A major candidate is defined as any current or former Senator, Governor, House member (congressman), Cabinet member, or former President/First Lady. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve to "No" if Kamala Harris officially wins the Democratic Nomination before a major challenger has announced. If Kamala Harris drops out before a candidate has announced a challenge this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.