
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksA viral video from May 2025 showing Emmanuel Macron quickly picking up a white object during a train trip to Ukraine sparked online speculation that the French President was concealing cocaine (see: https://x.com/KevorkAlmassian/status/19215469959000026035-05-12). This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Emmanuel Macron is currently or has recently (since January 1, 2025) used cocaine is made public by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying evidence includes but is not limited to public statements from Macron or other definitive proof. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, and official information from Emmanuel Macron.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 5:56:44 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.