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When will Luigi Mangione be extradited to New York?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$107.1K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCMar 31, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
4 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
DecemberClosedMarket odds100%
Luigi Mangione extradited to New York by December?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione, the suspected shooter of United Healthcare CEO, is extradited to the state of New York between December 11, 2024, 11:00 AM ET, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". "Extradited" to New York means Luigi Mangione enters the territory of New York state while in custody. If he is flown to or over New York, he must set foot on the ground within the state for it to count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official government sources from the relevant extraditing and receiving institutions, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.