
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Wisconsin is the final state the Associated Press declares a winner for in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No" The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP has not called multiple states by December 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada is the final state the Associated Press declares a winner for in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No" The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP has not called multiple states by December 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Pennsylvania is the final state the Associated Press declares a winner for in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No" The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP has not called multiple states by December 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Michigan is the final state the Associated Press declares a winner for in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No" The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP has not called multiple states by December 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if New Hampshire is the final state the Associated Press declares a winner for in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No" The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP has not called multiple states by December 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if North Carolina is the final state the Associated Press declares a winner for in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No" The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP has not called multiple states by December 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Minnesota is the final state the Associated Press declares a winner for in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No" The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP has not called multiple states by December 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Georgia is the final state the Associated Press declares a winner for in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No" The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP has not called multiple states by December 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Arizona is the final state the Associated Press declares a winner for in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No" The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP has not called multiple states by December 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Virginia is the final state the Associated Press declares a winner for in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No" The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP has not called multiple states by December 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Florida is the final state the Associated Press declares a winner for in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No" The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP has not called multiple states by December 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if New Mexico is the final state the Associated Press declares a winner for in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No" The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP has not called multiple states by December 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Alaska is the final state the Associated Press declares a winner for in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No" The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP has not called multiple states by December 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a state other Alaska, Wisconsin, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Michigan, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Minnesota, Georgia, Arizona, Virginia, Florida, Maine, Colorado or New Mexico is the final state the Associated Press declares a winner for in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP has not called multiple states by December 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Maine is the final state the Associated Press declares a winner for in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No" The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP has not called multiple states by December 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Colorado is the final state the Associated Press declares a winner for in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No" The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP has not called multiple states by December 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 11:01:58 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.