
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration (including any federal court) publicly releases any previously classified, sealed or unreleased files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein by 11:59 PM ET the day after Kash Patel is sworn in as director of the FBI. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Announcements of declassifications or releases that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not qualify. If Patel's nomination is formally withdrawn, if the Senate rejects his nomination, if someone else is confirmed as Director of the FBI, or if Patel otherwise is not confirmed as Director of the FBI by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 6:35:15 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.