
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Bieber and/or Hailey Bieber announce their intention to legally separate or divorce by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by April 30 of their intention to separate or divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the separation or divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual separation or divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Justin Bieber, Hailey Bieber, and/or their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 12:46:31 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.