
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. District Judge James Boasberg formally holds any official, agency, or representative of the Trump administration in contempt of court by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Civil or criminal contempt will qualify. The resolution source will be official federal court records however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 1:27:21 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.