John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$1.5K

Liquidity$10.5K

Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027

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Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?Accepting ordersMarket odds19%

John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?

Yes19%Polymarket estimate

No81%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $10.5K
Deadline · UTC: Jan 1, 2027
Yes bid / ask: 18.0¢ / 20.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.