Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza?

Foretrace AI research

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$205.8K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCJun 30, 2025

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds100%

Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Jun 30, 2025
Yes bid / ask: 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the vessel Madleen, while carrying Greta Thunberg, is physically intercepted, redirected, detained, or boarded by any Israeli military or governmental authority before it reaches the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes enforcement of a naval blockade, boarding by armed forces, the use of force, electronic warfare, or threats to prevent the ship from completing its mission. Voluntary rerouting or delays due to weather, mechanical issues, or internal decisions not caused by external pressure will not qualify. The vessel will be considered to have reached the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip if the vessel comes within 100 meters of the Gaza shoreline. Entry into Gaza’s maritime zone will not alone qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.