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Is Luigi Mangione YouTube channel real?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$443.7K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Is Luigi Mangione YouTube channel real?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.2¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
On Dec 9 the YouTube channel @PepMangione posted a video titled "The Truth", stating "If you see this, I’m already under arrest." (see https://x.com/AFpost/status/1866229482719244591). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the https://www.youtube.com/@PepMangione YouTube channel is real, i.e. it is proven to be operated by Luigi Mangione or a person/system that he authorized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution date is December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no credible evidence linking Luigi Mangione to the YouTube channel by the resolution date, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.