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Ireland, Norway, or Spain accepts Gazan refugees in February?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$32.2K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCFeb 28, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Ireland, Norway, or Spain accepts Gazan refugees in February?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Feb 28, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
On February 6, the Israeli Minister of Defense, Israel Katz, posted that Spain, Ireland, and Norway are legally obligated to take Gazan refugees (https://x.com/Israel_katz/status/1887416931365314902). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of Spain, Ireland, or Norway announces a plan to accept Gazan refugees between February 5 and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the governments of Ireland, Norway, and Spain, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.