
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Icelandic presidential election is scheduled to take place on June 1, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Katrín Jakobsdóttir wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Iceland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Icelandic presidential election is scheduled to take place on June 1, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Baldur Þórhallsson wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Iceland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Icelandic presidential election is scheduled to take place on June 1, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Halla Tómasdóttir wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Iceland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Icelandic presidential election is scheduled to take place on June 1, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Halla Hrund Logadóttir wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Iceland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Icelandic presidential election is scheduled to take place on June 1, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jón Gnarr wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Iceland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Icelandic presidential election is scheduled to take place on June 1, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arnar Þór Jónsson wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Iceland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Icelandic presidential election is scheduled to take place on June 1, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate other than Katrín Jakobsdóttir, Baldur Þórhallsson, Halla Tómasdóttir, Halla Hrund Logadóttir, Jón Gnarr, or Arnar Þór Jónsson wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Iceland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 4:04:50 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.