Loading your workspace…
All markets
ICC issues an arrest warrant for Yahya Sinwar?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$3.2K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCNov 5, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
ICC issues an arrest warrant for Yahya Sinwar?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 5, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 7.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
On May 20, prosecutor for the International Criminal Court (ICC) Karim Khan announced he had requested arrest warrants for war crimes and crimes against humanity for leaders of Hamas and Israel. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICC officially issues an arrest warrant for Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar between May 19, and November 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If the ICC announces that they have declined prosecutor Karim Khan's request for a warrant for Sinwar, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Criminal Court, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.