Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$341.4

Liquidity$11.2K

Event end date · UTCOct 31, 2026

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Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?Accepting ordersMarket odds4.5%

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

Yes4.5%Polymarket estimate

No95.5%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $11.2K
Deadline · UTC: Oct 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 3.0¢ / 6.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.