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Sotheby's Leonard A. Lauder Auction
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$1.4M
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCNov 18, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
13 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Lot 3 Picasso – 700k+ClosedMarket odds100%
Will Lot 3 Pablo Picasso’s “Trois personnages” sell for 700k or more?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 18, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 80.1¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market refers to Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction” scheduled for 18 November 2025 at 18:00 EST in New York (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trois personnages by Pablo Picasso (Lot 3) sells for USD 700,000 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the artwork is not sold during Sotheby’s “Leonard A. Lauder, Collector | Evening Auction,” this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the hammer price, as based on the official information from Sotheby’s, for example, on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/leonard-a-lauder-collector-evening-auction?locale=en&lotFilter=AllLots.