
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the final night of the 2024 Democratic National Convention (DNC) has fewer than 23,000,000 viewers according to Nielsen. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the DNC by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source may be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the final night of the 2024 Democratic National Convention (DNC) has between 23,000,000 (inclusive) and 25,000,000 (exclusive) viewers according to Nielsen. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the DNC by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source may be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the final night of the 2024 Democratic National Convention (DNC) has between 25,000,000 (inclusive) and 27,000,000 (exclusive) viewers according to Nielsen. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the DNC by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source may be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the final night of the 2024 Democratic National Convention (DNC) has between 27,000,000 (inclusive) and 29,000,000 (exclusive) viewers according to Nielsen. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the DNC by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source may be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the final night of the 2024 Democratic National Convention (DNC) has between 29,000,000 (inclusive) and 31,000,000 (exclusive) viewers according to Nielsen. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the DNC by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source may be chosen.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the final night of the 2024 Democratic National Convention (DNC) has 31,000,000 or more viewers according to Nielsen. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the DNC by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source may be chosen.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 1:16:36 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.