
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Tulsi Gabbard receives less than 49 YEA votes, in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If another individual is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If Tulsi Gabbard is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made Director of National Intelligence without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Tulsi Gabbard receives exactly 49 YEA votes, in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If another individual is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”. If Tulsi Gabbard is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made Director of National Intelligence without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Tulsi Gabbard receives exactly 50 YEA votes, in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If another individual is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”. If Tulsi Gabbard is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made Director of National Intelligence without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Tulsi Gabbard receives exactly 51 YEA votes, in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If another individual is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”. If Tulsi Gabbard is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made Director of National Intelligence without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Tulsi Gabbard receives exactly 52 YEA votes, in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If another individual is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”. If Tulsi Gabbard is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made Director of National Intelligence without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Tulsi Gabbard receives exactly 53 YEA votes, in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If another individual is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”. If Tulsi Gabbard is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made Director of National Intelligence without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Tulsi Gabbard receives 54 or more YEA votes, in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If another individual is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”. If Tulsi Gabbard is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made Director of National Intelligence without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 5:28:16 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.