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How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 10 open questions · Evidence required
24h volume$683.3
Total volume$128.5K
Liquidity$84K
Event end date · UTCMar 1, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
10 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<200kAccepting ordersMarket odds1.8%
Will Trump deport less than 200k people?
Yes1.8%Polymarket estimate
No98.3%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $11.4K
- Deadline · UTC
- Mar 1, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 1.4¢ / 2.1¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.