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How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 14?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$16.7K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCFeb 19, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
7 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<200kClosedMarket odds0%
Will there be less than 200k initial jobless claims during the week ending February 14, 2026?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Feb 19, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of seasonally adjusted initial unemployment insurance claims (initial claims) made in the US during the week ending February 14, 2026, according to the Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report released by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL) for the specified week. The DOL Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report is typically released on Thursday at 8:30 ET, referencing data for the previous week (the week ending on the previous Saturday), with limited exceptions. Upon release, the report will be made available here: https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf This market may resolve as soon as the specified report with relevant data is released. If no Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the specified week is released within 14 calendar days of the date on which the reference week ended, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the DOL Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report released for the specified week (https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf).