
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksPresident Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver his first joint address to Congress of his second term on Tuesday, March 4, 2025, at 9 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the length of the speech. If Donald Trump does not give a joint address to Congress by March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during his speech until the moment he finishes. The resolution source will be the live video of the event.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksPresident Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver his first joint address to Congress of his second term on Tuesday, March 4, 2025, at 9 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the length of the speech. If Donald Trump does not give a joint address to Congress by March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during his speech until the moment he finishes. The resolution source will be the live video of the event.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksPresident Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver his first joint address to Congress of his second term on Tuesday, March 4, 2025, at 9 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the length of the speech. If Donald Trump does not give a joint address to Congress by March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during his speech until the moment he finishes. The resolution source will be the live video of the event.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksPresident Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver his first joint address to Congress of his second term on Tuesday, March 4, 2025, at 9 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the length of the speech. If Donald Trump does not give a joint address to Congress by March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during his speech until the moment he finishes. The resolution source will be the live video of the event.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksPresident Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver his first joint address to Congress of his second term on Tuesday, March 4, 2025, at 9 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the length of the speech. If Donald Trump does not give a joint address to Congress by March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during his speech until the moment he finishes. The resolution source will be the live video of the event.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 6:33:45 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.