Honduras Election: Nasralla flips Asfura by Tuesday 12 PM ET?

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$53.9K

Liquidity$0

Event end date · UTCDec 2, 2025

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds100%

Honduras Election: Nasralla flips Asfura by Tuesday 12 PM ET?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $0
Deadline · UTC: Dec 2, 2025
Yes bid / ask: 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between Salvador Nasralla and Nasry "Tito" Asfura, Salvador Nasralla becomes the favorite in the Honduras Presidential Election market (https://polymarket.com/event/honduras-presidential-election?tid=1764630836295) for any one-hour period ending by December 2, 2025, 12:00 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Salvador Nasralla will be considered to have become the favorite for any one-hour period if he is ahead of Nasry "Tito" Asfura in more individual minutes than Nasry "Tito" Asfura is ahead of Salvador Nasralla during a qualifying time period. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Honduras Presidential Election” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/will-nasralla-flip-asfura-for-honduras-presidential-election-by-tomorrow-at-noon or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the one-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.