
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59PM ET. For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.0 Flash must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.0 Flash refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.0 Flash. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by November 30, 2025, 11:59PM ET. For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.0 Flash must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.0 Flash refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.0 Flash. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by December 15, 2025, 11:59PM ET. For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.0 Flash must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.0 Flash refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.0 Flash. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by December 22, 2025, 11:59PM ET. For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.0 Flash must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.0 Flash refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.0 Flash. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by December 18, 2025, 11:59PM ET. For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.0 Flash must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.0 Flash refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.0 Flash. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by December 16, 2025, 11:59PM ET. For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.0 Flash must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.0 Flash refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.0 Flash. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by December 17, 2025, 11:59PM ET. For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.0 Flash must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.0 Flash refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.0 Flash. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 12:55:53 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.