
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksIf friend.tech (@friendtech), posts 3 or more times on X between May 3, 2024, 12:30 PM ET and May 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive) this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all posts, including main feed posts, quote posts, reposts posts and replies will count. The market will resolve based on checking the number of posts made during the market's time frame at, 12:00 AM ET on May 4. Posts which were made during the markets time frame but have been deleted before 12:00 AM ET on May 4, will NOT count. The resolution source for this market will be friend.tech’s verified X/Twitter account: https://twitter.com/friendtech.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 1:13:32 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.